Tuesday, 22 August 2017
Why the Georgia Special Election Matters

Added: 19.06.2017 20:02 | 28 views | 0 comments

, FiveThirtyEight
The "takes" you’ll read about the special election in Georgia’s 6th Congressional District on Tuesday night are probably going to be dumb. A close outcome in either direction would be consistent with what we know about the political environment. So if either Democrat Jon Ossoff or Republican Karen Handel wins narrowly, it will be portrayed as a more important predictive signal than it really is. A blowout result would be a bigger deal. But even then, Georgia 6 is a slightly unusual district, and the election would be one data point among many. Georgia isn’t even...

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